Econ 236
Rates of Return
Holding Period Return
Holding Period Return Example
Gross and Net Returns
Gross and Net Returns
Multi-period Returns
Annualized Returns - EAR
Annualized Returns - APR
Annualized Returns - Example
Annualized Returns - Example
EAR and APR
Continuous Compounding
Continuous Compounding
Inflation
Nominal vs. Real Returns
Nominal vs. Real Returns
Nominal vs. Real Returns - Proof
Nominal vs. Real Returns - Example
Expected Inflation
Expected Inflation
Forward Contracts
Forward Contract Definition
Delivery and Settlement
Forward Example
Market Prices
Early Termination
Early Termination Example
Notation
Forward Valuation
Forward Valuation Example
Forward Valuation with Income
Forward Valuation with Yield
Forward Valuation with Yield Example
Forward Valuation for Currency
Curreny Forward Example
Forward Valuation for Commodities
Cost of Carry
Futures Markets
Futures Contracts
Role of Exchanges
Exchanges
Contract Specifications
Example: E-mini S&P 500 Contract
E-mini S&P 500 Specifications
E-mini S&P 500 Specifications
Futures Maturities
Delivery of Commodities
Terminology
Volume vs. Open Interest
Margin
E-mini Margin
Example: Gold Futures
Example: Gold Futures
Trading
Exchanges Today
Exchanges Today
Major U.S. Exchanges
Exchanges Today
Exchanges Today
Exchanges Today
Market Makers
Takers
Order Book Example: time 1
Order Book Example: time 2
Order Book Example: time 3
Order Book Example: time 4
Order Book Example: time 5
Information Flows
SPY Liquidity Response to ES
Reasons for Information Flow
SPY/E-mini Contract Specs
E-mini/SPY Spreads
E-mini/SPY Spreads
E-mini/SPY Spreads
E-mini/SPY Spreads
Spread and Information Flow
Implications
Empirical Results
Empirical Results
Notes on Results
Hedging with Futures
Long and Short Hedges
Short Hedge Example
Long Hedge Example
Imperfect Hedging
Basis
Basis Fluctuation
Stylized Basis Fluctuation
Actual Basis Fluctuation
Hedging and Basis
Basis Risk
Contract Choice
Example: Hedging Yen
Cross Hedging
Hedge Ratio
Hedge Ratio with Returns
Hedge Ratio Regression
Hedge Ratio
Optimal Number of Contracts
Hedge Ratio Example
Hedge Ratio Example
Hedge Ratio Example
Hedging an Equity Portfolio
Hedging Equity Portfolio Example
Hedging Equity Portfolio Example
Why Hedge?
Changing Beta
Futures on Interest Rates
Common Interest Rates
Day Counts
T-bill Quotations
Treasury Bond Quotations
Accrued Interest
Treasury Futures
Conversion Factors
Treasury Futures Quotations
Treasury Futures Quotations
Treasury Futures Price
Treasury Futures Price Example
Treasury Futures Price Example
Treasury Futures Price Example
Treasury Futures Price Example
Eurodollar Futures
Eurodollar Futures Quotes
Eurodollar Futures Table
Eurodollar Futures Example
Hedging with Eurodollar Futures
Hedging with Eurodollar Futures
Forward Rate Agreements
Zero Rates
Zero Coupon Bond
Zero Curve
Zero Curve
Forward Rates
Forward Rate Example
Forward Rates: Alternative
Notes on Forward Rates
Forward Rate Agreements
FRA Example
FRAs vs Eurodollar Futures
FRA Notation
FRA Cash Flows
FRA Valuation
FRA Valuation Example
Swaps
Swaps
Forward/Futures as Swap
Interest Rate Swap
LIBOR Swap
LIBOR Swap Example
LIBOR Swap Diagram
LIBOR Swap Cash Flows
LIBOR Swap Cash Flows with Notional
LIBOR Swap Example
LIBOR Swap Cash Flows
Transforming a Liability
Transforming a Liability
Transforming a Asset
Transforming a Liability
Financial Intermediaries
Financial Intermediaries Diagram
Market Maker Quotes
An Important Fact
Swap Value: Floating Side
Swap Value Diagram
Swap Value: Fixed Side
Swap Value
Swap Value Example
Swap Value Example
Swap Value Table
Swap Value: FRA Portfolio
Swap Value Example: FRA Portfolio
Swap Value Example: FRA Portfolio
Swap Value Example: FRA Portfolio
Swap Value Example: FRA Table
Currency Swaps
Currency Swap Example
Currency Swap Example
Currency Swap Example
Currency Swap: Transforming Liabilities and Assets
Currency Swap Valuation: Bonds
Currency Swap Valuation Example: Bonds
Currency Swap Valuation Example: Bonds
Currency Swap Valuation Table: Bonds
Currency Swap Valuation: Forward Portfolio
Currency Swap Valuation Example
Currency Swap Valuation Table: Forward Portfolio
Other Currency Swaps
Other Swaps
Options
Options
Terminology
Underlying Assets
Options Exchanges
Exchange-Traded Options
VIX Options Specs
Implications of Options
Options as Insurance
Obligation of Sellers
Call Option Example
Call Option Example
Put Option Example
Put Option Example
Moneyness
Notation
Call Option Payoff (Buyer)
Call Option Payoff (Buyer)
Call Option Payoff (Buyer)
Call Option Payoff (Seller)
Call Option Payoff (Seller)
Put Option Payoff (Buyer)
Put Option Payoff (Buyer)
Put Option Payoff (Buyer)
Speculation and Hedging
Speculation and Hedging
Speculation and Hedging
Speculation and Hedging
Speculation and Hedging
Speculation and Hedging
Speculation and Hedging
Protective Put
Protective Put
Protective Put
Protective Put
Covered Call
Covered Call
Covered Call
Straddle
Straddle
Straddle
Straddle
Spread
Bullish Spread
Bullish Spread
Collar
Protective Put Alternative
Protective Put Alternative
Put Call Parity
Put Call Parity Example
Put Call Parity Example
Put Call Parity Example
Binomial Trees
Random Walk
Binomial Distribution
Bernoulli Random Walk
Binomial Tree Example
Binomial Tree Example
A Riskless Portfolio
A Riskless Portfolio
Value of the Riskless Portfolio
Value of the Riskless Portfolio
One-Step Binomial Tree
One-Step Binomial Tree
One-Step Portfolio
One-Step Portfolio
Call Option Price
Revisiting One-Period Example
Two-Step Binomial Tree
Two-Step Binomial Tree
Two-Step Binomial Tree
Two-Step Binomial Tree
Two-Step Binomial Tree Example
Two-Step Binomial Tree Example
Valuing Put Options
Two-Step Put Option Example
Two-Step Put Option Example
American Options
American Option Example
Delta
Call Deltas
Put Deltas
Stock Return Volatility
Binomial Tree Parameters
Binomial Tree Parameters
Options on Other Assets
Options on Other Assets
Wiener Processes
Stochastic Processes
Properties of Expected Value
Properties of Expected Value
Properties of Variance
Properties of Variance
Normal Random Variables
Additive Normal Example
Additive Normal Example
Wiener Process
Moments of the Wiener Process
Wiener Process Over Long Horizon
Wiener Process Over Long Horizon
Wiener Process Sample Paths
Generalized Wiener Process
Generalized Wiener Process
Wiener Process Comparison
Ito Process
Model for Asset Prices
Model for Asset Prices
Geometric Brownian Motion
Geometric Brownian Motion
Parameter Estimation
Simulating Geometric Brownian Motion
Simulating Geometric Brownian Motion
Ito’s Lemma
Ito’s Lemma
Ito’s Lemma for Geometric Brownian Motion
Application to Forward Contracts
Application to Forward Contracts
Distribution of Prices
Distribution of Prices
Lognormal Distribution
Simulation Distribution
Simulation Distribution
Simulation Distribution
Black-Scholes-Merton Model
Overview
BSM Assumptions
BSM and Ito’s Lemma
A Riskless Portfolio
A Riskless Portfolio
Boundary Conditions
BSM Price of Forward
Risk-Neutral Valuation
BSM Option Pricing Formulas
Normal CDF
Interpretation
Interpretation
Interpretation
Extreme Cases
Extreme Cases
Implied Volatility
VIX Index
Historical VIX
Implied Volatility and the Volatility Term Structure
Implied Volatility
Put-Call Parity
Foreign Exchange Vol Smile
Foreign Exchange Implied Distribution
Evidence of Heavy Tails
Equities Exchange Vol Smile
Equities Implied Distribution
Volatility Surface
Econ 236
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Econ 236 - Financial Engineering
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Econ 236 - Financial Engineering
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Contents:
Rates of Return
Forward Contracts
Futures Markets
Trading
Hedging with Futures
Futures on Interest Rates
Forward Rate Agreements
Swaps
Options
Binomial Trees
Wiener Processes
Black-Scholes-Merton Model
Implied Volatility and the Volatility Term Structure