.. slideconf:: :slide_classes: appear ============================================================================== Indexes and Funds ============================================================================== Indexes ============================================================================== Indexes are weighted averages of asset characteristics. .. rst-class:: to-build - For example, it might be a weighted average of stock prices, stock returns, or bond yields. .. rst-class:: to-build - The two most widely cited indexes are: .. rst-class:: to-build - `The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Djia>`_. .. rst-class:: to-build - `The Standard and Poor's Composite 500 (S\&P 500) <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/S%26P_500>`_. .. rst-class:: to-build - These are reported every day in `common news outlets <http://wsj.com>`_. Dow Jones ============================================================================== The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) is the oldest U.S. index, dating to 1896. .. rst-class:: to-build - Since 1926 it has included 30 large stocks. .. rst-class:: to-build - Originally a simple average of the prices. .. rst-class:: to-build - Percentage change in the Dow was originally the return on a portfolio consisting of one share invested in each of the stocks in the index. Dow Jones ============================================================================== - The DJIA is a price-weighted average: the amount of money invested in each asset of the portfolio is proportional to the share price. .. rst-class:: to-build - Due to splits and changes in the composition of the index, the DJIA is no longer a simple weighted average of prices. Price-Weighted Indexes ============================================================================== Consider a price-weighted index of two stocks, :math:`X` and :math:`Y` . .. rst-class:: to-build - The price of :math:`X` is originally $25 and increases to $30. .. rst-class:: to-build - The price of :math:`Y` is originally $100 and decreases to $90. .. rst-class:: to-build Then .. rst-class:: to-build - Initial index value = :math:`\frac{\$25+\$100}{2} = \$62.5`. .. rst-class:: to-build - Final index value = :math:`\frac{\$30+\$90}{2} = \$60`. .. rst-class:: to-build - Percentage change = :math:`\frac{-\$2.5}{\$62.5} = -0.04 = -4\%`. Price-Weighted Indexes ============================================================================== Note that price-weighted indexes give higher priced stocks more weight. .. rst-class:: to-build - The percentage change in stock :math:`X` is: .. rst-class:: to-build .. math:: \frac{\$30 - \$25}{\$25} = 0.2 = 20\% .. rst-class:: to-build - The percentage change in stock :math:`Y` is: .. rst-class:: to-build .. math:: \frac{\$90 - \$100}{\$100} = -0.1 = -10\% Price-Weighted Indexes ============================================================================== - The overall percentage change in the index is .. rst-class:: to-build .. math:: \% \text{change in index} = \frac{p^0_X}{p^0_X+p^0_Y} \Delta_X + \frac{p^0_Y}{p^0_X+p^0_Y} \Delta_Y .. rst-class:: to-build .. math:: = 0.2 * 0.2 + 0.8 * (-0.1) = -0.04. .. rst-class:: to-build - :math:`p^0_i` is the initial price of stock :math:`i`. .. rst-class:: to-build - :math:`\Delta_i` is the percentage change in the price of stock :math:`i`. Splits and Price-Weighted Averages ============================================================================== Suppose that stock :math:`Y` split, causing its price to fall to \$50. .. rst-class:: to-build - This would cause a large fall in the value of the index, unless an adjustment is made to the divisor. .. rst-class:: to-build - That is, the index value before the split is .. rst-class:: to-build .. math:: \frac{\$25 + \$100}{2} = \$62.5. .. rst-class:: to-build - The post-split divisor, :math:`d`, should be the value such that .. rst-class:: to-build .. math:: \frac{\$25 + \$50}{d} = \$62.5. Splits and Price-Weighted Averages ============================================================================== - Hence, :math:`d` falls from 2 to 1.2. .. rst-class:: to-build - Notice that since the split causes the price of :math:`Y` to fall, it's relative weight in the portfolio will fall. .. rst-class:: to-build - Movements in the price of :math:`Y` will have a smaller impact on the index. Standard and Poor's Composite 500 ============================================================================== The S\&P 500 stock index has two advantages over the Dow: .. rst-class:: to-build - It is comprised of 500 large stocks, and hence is more broadly based and a better indicator of the market as a whole. .. rst-class:: to-build - It is a value-weighted, rather than price-weighted, index. .. rst-class:: to-build - The market value or market capitalization of a firm is simply its total value on the market: price per share times the number of shares outstanding. .. rst-class:: to-build - A value-weighted index weights each stock in the index according to its market cap. Value-Weighted Indexes ============================================================================== If stock :math:`X` currently has 20 shares trading in the market and stock :math:`Y` only has 1 share, the market caps for :math:`X` and :math:`Y` are .. rst-class:: to-build .. math:: MC^0_X & = 20 * \$25 = \$500 .. rst-class:: to-build .. math:: MC^0_Y & = 1*\$100=\$100. .. rst-class:: to-build - A value-weighted index of the two stocks would give :math:`X` five times the weight as :math:`Y`. .. rst-class:: to-build - Compare to the price-weighted index which gives :math:`Y` four times the weight. .. rst-class:: to-build - Initially, the total stock on the market is equal to \$500 + \$100 = \$600. Value-Weighted Indexes ============================================================================== After the price changes, market caps become .. rst-class:: to-build .. math:: MC^1_X & = 20 * \$30 = \$600 .. rst-class:: to-build .. math:: MC^1_Y & = 1*\$90=\$90. .. rst-class:: to-build - The total value of stock is now \$690. .. rst-class:: to-build - If the initial value of the value weighted index was \$100, after the price changes it would be :math:`\$100*\frac{\$690}{\$600} = \$115`. Value-Weighted Indexes ============================================================================== - In this case the value of the index rises since it gives a relatively higher weight to :math:`X`. .. rst-class:: to-build .. math:: \% \text{change in index} & = \frac{MC^0_X}{MC^0_X + MC^0_Y} \Delta_X + \frac{MC^0_Y}{MC^0_X + MC^0_Y} \Delta_Y .. rst-class:: to-build .. math:: = \frac{5}{6} * 0.2 + \frac{1}{6} * (-0.1) = 0.15. Equally-Weighted Indexes ============================================================================== One of the advantages of price-weighted and value-weighted indexes is that they correspond to buy-and-hold portfolio strategies: .. rst-class:: to-build - A price-weighted index is equivalent to buying and holding one share (or an equal number of shares) of each stock in the index. .. rst-class:: to-build - A value-weighted index is equivalent to buying and holding each share of the index in proportion to its market cap. Equally-Weighted Indexes (Cont.) ============================================================================== In contrast, one could form an equally-weighted index, where all stocks receive the exact same weight. .. rst-class:: to-build - This does not correspond to a buy-and-hold strategy. .. rst-class:: to-build - Consider starting with with equal amounts of money invested in stocks :math:`X` and :math:`Y`. .. rst-class:: to-build - If the price of :math:`X` increases by 20\% and the price of :math:`Y` falls by 10\%, the dollar amount invested in each stock is no longer equal. .. rst-class:: to-build - To keep the investment equally weighted, you would have to sell some shares of :math:`X` and buy shares of :math:`Y`. Other Indexes ============================================================================== There are a wide number of published indexes: .. rst-class:: to-build - `Nasdaq Composite <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nasdaq_Composite>`_. .. rst-class:: to-build - `NYSE Composite <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/NYSE_Composite>`_. .. rst-class:: to-build - `Wilshire 5000 <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wilshire_5000>`_. .. rst-class:: to-build - Sub-indexes of the S\&P 500 and others above. .. rst-class:: to-build To hold these as part of a portfolio one could .. rst-class:: to-build - Buy shares of a `mutual fund <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mutual_fund>`_ that tracks the index. .. rst-class:: to-build - Buy shares of an `Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) <http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Exchange-traded_fund>`_ which is a portfolio of the shares in the index.